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Turkey’s situation will get worsen, making it unstable: Director of Heinrich-Boll Foundation in Istanbul

Kristian Brakel, Director of Heinrich-Boll Foundation in Istanbul and Turkey expert, commented on Turkey-Germany relations following Angela Merkel’s visit to Ankara. Brakel is quoted as saying, “I do not think the relationship between Merkel and Erdoğan will improve. Let me clearly state that Germany’s Chancellor is stalling for time. Turkey’s situation will worsen making Turkey unstable. The effect of this unstability could lead to some consequences for Germany.”

Brakel’s answers DW’s questions as follows:

Angela Merkel emphasized the importance of checks and balances in her visit and also she warned about protecting freedom of speech and press at the press conference with President Erdoğan. Do you think Angela Merkel’s comments will change anything in Turkey?

I don’t think so. The Presidential system, that President Erdoğan, has been propagating for cannot be prevented. President Erdoğan will not act on Angela Merkel’s, remarks. The German Chancellor, Angela Merkel and her government, could use economic sanctions on the Turkish government, but in general, this will not be effective.

I am having difficulty identifying the main reason of the visit. The Chancellor could not explain the aim of the visit except that the visit covered “multi-layered relations”.

I do not think Merkel’s visit will have an impact on the issue of protests in Turkey.

Merkel met with representatives from the Opposition. Last year she did not meet with the Opposition. I think the meeting, with the representatives from the opposition, was a great initiative that was long overdue.

President Erdogan said Germany is a very important country in terms of fighting terrorism and as a NATO member. How will the future of bilateral relations be?

Right now, the relations are cold. Both sides know they need each other. Turkey aspires to maintain strong economic relations. Germany wants to protect the bilateral relations. I foresee the relations between the two countries being kept at bare a minimum.

I do not think the relations between Merkel and Erdoğan will improve. The German Chancellor is stalling. Due to the new developments in United States, Turkey does not rank high in Germany’s political agenda.

Turkey’s situation will worsen making Turkey unstable. Eventually Erdogan, like every person will die and there will be a huge vacuum created. This could be dangerous for all of Turkey and the effect of this unstability could lead to some consequences for Germany.

T24 – translated by Öznur Kaya

 

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